Larry Page ignored Steve Jobs’ advice, and Google is doing great
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However IIRR Page shut down dozens of projects (wave being a big example). Just because a large company is doing a lot of things does not mean they are not focused - I expect Page has a list of 5 things and thinks its all focused quite well
Indeed: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Google_products#Discont...
And partially gutted some, forcefully shoving G+ in them (e.g. Reader)
The bigger question is did Steve Jobs have anything to do with it? It would surprise me if Page wasn't going to go down this path either way. Maybe a nudge of encouragement rather than a massive course correction.
I actually think Page's biggest test is to come over the next several years. With declining per ad revenue and potential competitors (in Amazon and Facebook) Google runs the risk of having its core revenue stream reduced significantly, while over in the OS space it has to deal with the death thrash of a Microsoft that knows its do or die time and several minnows (RIM, Ubuntu) that may slice off small chunks of market share and a whale in Samsung that may just walk off with the rest.
If Page can navigate all that then it will be worth writing articles about.
Unfocused? Last two years Google killed tens of products. They even killed Google Wave. Moreover, they unified UI across many products.
In my opinion Larry is doing exactly what Steve advised.
Page smoothly managed Google into a position where they have many projects ongoing, and the core business is incredibly focussed. Saying he ignored Jobs' advice to focus is incredibly stupid, as he did bring a level of focus back into the business and it's working incredibly well for Google.
You can have multiple projects, and multiple exploratory avenues and these are healthy things, but Google for a period was throwing everything at the wall to see what stuck.
He re-took the what? You don't take the reigns, you don't give free reign, and you don't loosen the reigns. It's REINS.
What Google is doing is simply executing them in a far more polished and integrated way. Similar to what Apple does.
I personally believe that the real raw innovation in the industry is surprisingly coming from Microsoft.
Bringing something like Glasses or autonomous cars to market and making it work well enough to be a success counts for more than creation of prototypes that are never more than a cool experiment, in my opinion.
IMO, autonomous cars will be a success at some time. Who will be the first to sell them is anybody's guess, but Idonit think it is a given it will be Google. Car companies such as Volkswagen and Toyota have the advantage that they already can build cars.
Glasses? They might sell at some time, but IMO, the call is out whether these will be niche products or not. I think something must be done on the 'when not in use, they obstruct my view; when in use, they are so tiny' problem before such products can become mainstream.
And did you know the Grand Challenge winning cars made use of LIDAR and machine vision to identify road features and obstacles, high precision GPS, and inertial navigation? And that very similar sensors can be seen on Google Street View?
If you wanted a test data set, to refine your self-driving car by simulating driving every road in the developed world, you could scarcely do better than Google's data. This could be valuable in advancing from a car that works well on wide, well maintained freeway to a car that can work well around towns and cities.
[1] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoiJeIb0wBA#t=21m50s [2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sebastian_Thrun
Do you know none of that has anything to do with the issue at hand (the OP lauding Google for bringing successful products to market, while they didn't even bring them to market yet?)
Although DARPA rules require that the team have an American representative, teams like Team Berlin [1] and CarOLO [2] were run by German universities. I certainly agree that universities produced a lot more entries than the vehicle industry did - but I don't know if that means Mercedes and Toyota had secrets they didn't want to give away in 2005, or if it means they didn't have anything worth showing off.
Of course, we'll know much more when companies actually start bringing these products to market, and we shouldn't count Google's chickens before they've hatched. But by my reckoning they got a pretty good head start - I certainly wouldn't bet against them.
[1] http://archive.darpa.mil/grandchallenge/Teams/Teamberlin.asp [2] http://archive.darpa.mil/grandchallenge/Teams/CarOLO.asp
And this idea that Google has invented something that the car companies haven't is just ridiculous. Car companies have been selling millions of self-parking and auto avoidance cars for the last few years. So they clearly have the ability to deliver intelligent control systems.
As for Google Glasses well all I've seen to date is a video camera on your head (around for years) and a science fiction promo video.
Companies like Apple, Google, and Volvo were not the first with tablets or autonomous vehicles, but they were the first to adapt such inventions into products that the market can accept. (I am making the assumption that Volvo & Google will produce autonomous vehicles that the market will accept)
It's almost like the difference between "having an idea" and "achieving product-market fit".
Ford, GM, BMW and Toyota are among manufacturers working on what Google is getting virtually all the press for. We'll compare them when you can buy a Google Self-Driving Car at your local dealer.
How can you judge Glasses and compare them to others? How many have you used and tested?
Microsoft has good ideas but doesn't execute on them any good.
It's usually rather hard to know who invented a concept like tablet computers. After all, the concept existed long before they were even possible to fabricate (e.g. in sci-fi).
"Wearable Multitouch Interaction" - http://research.microsoft.com/apps/video/dl.aspx?id=160684
But also things that are closer to market - like:
Kinect, Photosynth, Metro
Their retail devision has still the worst image i can think of in this industry. But their research teams seem to be far forward.
For example, how could Bill Gates recognise back in the 90s that mobile was the future of computing, but a decade later Steve Jobs walked away with all the market share and money from it? Because Steve figured out how to execute and deliver, and Bill for all his genius and achievements in other areas (I am not doing him down in general, just in this case) didn't. Great artists ship.
That's why the intellectual property patent system is such an economically damaging disaster.
Its problem is its decrepit HR system. It needs to fire the people who came up with the "calibration scores", the 18-month lockout, and the whole closed allocation regime, yesterday.
If you make the error of thinking that technology is smart people stuff and HR is stupid people stuff, you end up with stupid people writing your HR policies, and disaster ensues.
If Google takes out the trash and reinvents itself as an open-allocation company, it'll be a real powerhouse.
First, they were competitors so take your competitor's advice with a grain of salt, Jobs or no Jobs.
Second, there is a lot more to it than just saying "focus on a few things."
Third, Google has a lot of goodwill from way back, any potential downfall will take years. That means that people could tolerate G+, the many ads etc for a while even if unhappy.
Fourth, Maps, Gmail, Now etc can all be folded under one: "Mobile Apps" so Google can say we're focusing.