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You do not need to know "reliably". You can block everything remotely suspicious, and in case someone is blocked by mistake, they can file an application with all necessary documentation proving the connection is not a VPN.

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Sounds like the great firewall of China. Pretty wild how much we are regressing in the states to say this out loud.

Let’s block traffic on the internet blindly just in case someone is looking at an adult website.

Next it will be illegal for anyone to visit an adult website from some states, even with proof of age, kinda like Prohibition..

We should also restrict access to foreign fake news websites that spread destabilizing propaganda. We can include an exception for academics, and thus will require a new accreditation and licensing scheme for them. Naturally we will then want to implement common sense guardrails for their conduct ... /s

Our politicians are affected by the same destabilising forces so that won't happen.

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