> the direct actor
In your example, the bank robbers started the situation.
Who started the war again? Was it Iran that started bombing the US unprovoked, or the US that started bombing Iran unprovoked?
Trump said he started the war because Iran was about to nuke the United States, despite months before saying their nuclear programs were totally obliterated, and his own DNI stating there was no evidence Iran had actually restarted their nuclear programs. Once again, who is the but-for cause of our current state of affairs?
It is absolutely not misleading to point the blame of the current state of affairs at Trump. We wouldn't be in this mess if it wasn't for his extreme incompetence. We didn't have to start this war, its his war of choice. If you stick your hand in a blender and turn it on you don't blame the blender for your mangled hand. The Straight being closed was an obvious out come of his actions, he was made aware of it, and he started the war anyway despite the US not needing to be involved. He himself campaigned on not getting involved in scenarios exactly like this.