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We live in a place (California) where the government has generally prevented homeowners insurance companies from effectively charging for risk (e.g., wildfires) and therefore many companies have stopped writing policies altogetherI agree with you that this is terrible. The perverse incentive also underlies the rest of your comment - the insurance company is looking for any reason to cancel your policy. Yesterday it was overgrown vegetation, but who knows what it will be tomorrow.
And while this would appear to be a major impediment to insurance companies accurately pricing risk (ie extra $XX for your trees rather than cancelation), I am not in California and yet still experience the same kind of thing. It really seems like these companies have no idea how to price risk apart from one big cohort of "normal", a few minor deviations (eg woodstoves), and with most everything else being a "we can't write a policy, go elsewhere". Even trying to significantly raise my deductibles to lower premiums nets like $20/year. I'm at the point where I'd drop house insurance completely except for the whole liability coverage thing, which is once again not possible to price out as a separate product in a competitive market (as once again, "different" implies "must be risky" to insurers).
> a change in risk of a few percent
You can't just hand wave adding a few percent on top of that 0.27% to swamp it. The base rate of wildfires themselves must be well below that 0.27% (modulo that perverse incentive). Vegetation obviously adds some risk, but how much? Look at the fire referenced in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899240 . Notice how it's the lone house standing. Not a patchwork of houses where a good chunk with good vegetation management survived. Rather it was proper vegetation management PLUS a lot of luck.
> that's part of the joy of being a homeowner
This is a common coping refrain but it proves to much for analysis. You could stomach $2k (which isn't all that much in the context of home ownership), but what if it was $50k from a ten item list with some items being much more costly? What if you had bought the house with a five year plan to gradually fix a bunch of similar deferred maintenance, but then were all of a sudden being put over a barrel by the insurer simply looking for pretexts to cancel? Or what if you didn't have that spare $2k, decided to do that work yourself, and their surveillance-based decisions then canceled your policy anyway because tree work "is risky" ?
The point is that every detail of real life ends up looking "risky" when you put it under a microscope - "what if?" and all that. And as I said in my original comment, insurance companies don't really seem interested in accurately pricing risk for conditions outside of the "mainstream" cohort - a cohort which additional surveillance then shrinks.
> Note that this is the same state that won't let auto insurers charge based on "black boxes" either, so good drivers are subsidizing bad drivers (even more than in other places).
This is the same exact "I've got nothing to hide" argument, but with even more invasive telemetry reporting. What you're calling "subsidizing bad drivers" I would call responsible consumer protection to avoid a race to the bottom into yet another pervasive surveillance regime.
We can easily think of types of bad driving that will not show up in telemetry, and types of telemetry that will flag as "bad driving" while being perfectly prudent. And that's not even getting into things like "we see you go out most Friday nights" or "we see you visit liquor stores".
Pricing on crash and moving violation history, as has been the standard for a long while, is good enough. If you feel you're overpaying because rates are constantly going up, the solution certainly isn't to embrace a crab bucket mentality of trying to push it onto some vague "other" people! Rather this is counterproductive - additional discriminators inevitably make rates go up due to increased complexity/stickiness despite any illusion of a temporary reprieve.