So a dummy linear napkin calculation, knowing nothing about how this stuff works: given we've burned 30% of existing reserves from the beginning of the year, that's allowed us to get to $4.5 gas prices 7 months later. If things go linearly, the remaining 30 mil barrels before the non-emergency limit will get us 5.5 months. So will be at the reserve red line by March, and gas prices by then may be at $5.85?

How dumb is this calculation?