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Comment by echelon | Hacker News Reader

> Your debit card transactions for example worked.

I've built payment rails. Six nines SLA, high capacity, resilient distributed systems.

I haven't written a single line of code since February, and I don't think I ever will again. These systems are incredibly good at replacing much of our work. They're only going to get better.

Rather than debating if these models are good (they are), we should be trying to figure out if most of us will still be around in three years. You don't need a two pizza team anymore.

"Look to the person to your left and to your right. Only one of you will remain by graduation" kind of energy. I'm not sure all of us is going to be in this career much longer. We'll have to see what the demand side looks like.

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Most of developing good code is not code. I think the person to my left and right will both be here in 3 years despite us all using LLMs. We will spend even more time figuring out requirements, testing to ensure the code meet them and such. Those things were always most of the effort, and while LLMs help with that too there is so much work to be done that we will still be used.

> You don't need a two pizza team anymore.

on-call still exists. have fun round robin'ing that with 3 engineers.

Does it? First line of defense is now an LLM with the runbook in its context and the human in the loop being woken up at 3 am, half asleep, just needs to make sure it doesn't rm -rf something.

Just yolo all the development and maintenance, and ops. There shouldn't be any problems, right? Coding is solved. Models are basically perfect at this point according to Astra's one shot performance on creating stuff in Blender, so...

on-call is solved, bro

>I haven't written a single line of code since February, and I don't think I ever will again. These systems are incredibly good at replacing much of our work. They're only going to get better.

Ah, so you're still a few months out from the "yeah, maybe I don't really love this and maybe it won't ever actually work as well as I thought" turning point.

On the one hand, you're exactly right.

On the other, my local pool company is hiring a software engineer and hardware engineer because with AI, they can replace a 2 pizza team as you so succinctly put it. So no two pizza teams but that doesn't mean all the pizzas are gone, they're maybe going to be spread out and not concentrated in CA, between orgs you might not have thought as "tech" before.

nothing completes a HN AI thread more than echelon jumping in from the top rail with a wild take

> You don't need a two pizza team anymore.

Note that AI hasn't yet solved making pizzas.

You can still find employment as an AI shill.

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