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> or maybe they're incapable of understanding

incapable of understanding speculation?

Speculation of what? There are models today that perform better than Haiku at 47x lower cost.

Excessive skepticism does no good.

speculation of cost decreases and performance increases in a matching trend year-over-year

comparable capability has gotten cheaper.

gpt 6 Luna can be swapped for 5.6 terra or even sol in some cases, and it is much cheaper.

source: i have a lot of evals, and i have ai find the best model for me for those evals over time so i save $ lol