That being said, one thing having been unrealistic 10 years ago and just about possible today doesn't mean that it's going to change the world the same way another technically related, previously-impossible thing did. The Jev hype gives me a bit of the "you're still early to crypto" vibes of some later altcoins. I really like the idea, I think it's going to open up possibilities for using classifiers where we wouldn't or couldn't have trained one before. I'm crossing my fingers for an open weights version to drop. But it's still just a classifier, people have built similar things before Jev, the one thing that really stands out about it is their ability to generate hype.
why
A bad universal classifier does suggest a good one later. And that is exactly what I would call "theoretically doable"
That said, I don't think that Jev is a magic breakthrough or anything. I think it is just a particularly good narrative with an easy way to try it out.
But I've seen nothing to indicate that the upper bound on classification tasks of a Jev-like model can exceed a frontier LLM with reasoning tokens. That seems nearly impossible even in principle (since Jev-style models are still based on LLM pretraining).
So while they're definitely on the Pareto frontier, which is valuable, they're at the "cheap" end of the spectrum more than the "good" end and I don't expect that to change.
That's the point. It can't. And it's not even close.
The magic moment for me from the Jev release was not that there was some system playing doom: Rather it was the moment, they just changed a part of the prompt to "don't shoot, just dodge" and the behavior changed immediately.
This means you can have a system with fast decision-making but still interact with it via language.
They even named the model after "Jevons Paradoxon" - They anticipate that their model lowers the cost of adopting this kind of AI significantly, unlocking a lot of use cases.
But good enough for pennies in an instant is very useful.
I work in manufacturing. I think this will be fantastic for stuff like SPC.
Ie the famous "Hotdog" clip from Silicon Valley [0]
Example (2022):
https://developers.openai.com/cookbook/examples/zero-shot_cl...
> get stuck in strange loops of going in and out of the same door to no end
Math.random is statistically unlikely to do this.