> It is not a good measure of the money someone may be able to realise.
And as such, when you get into the higher ranges, net worth is quite a good indicator.
What is Cargill “worth”? Suppose the families announced they were selling 90% of it on Monday. Would they get that figure?
What is Jensen Huang’s share of nVidia worth? If he announced he was selling all of in October, why would he not end up with that figure?
It’s quite different for a bank to lend Jensen (or Larry Ellison or Elon) 5% of that notional figure. They don’t need to care whether the true value is 30% or 50% of the notional to make that loan.
> Especially with how the market has been lately, the gains erase any burden of the loan.
And when the market goes down, you get a margin call and get wiped out.
Loans must be paid back. Loans are cash flow neutral (cash flow negative with interest) over the maturity. That's why loans are not counted as income.
When the market grows it makes the collateral worth more, which lets the borrower keep refinancing the debt instead of selling assets and realizing taxable gains. As long as the assets appreciate faster than the debt grows, the borrowing can effectively roll forward for decades. Eventually the estate pays the debt out of the assets themselves, but this is not necessarily out of taxable income earned during the person's lifetime. The US markets has seen exceptional genuine growth, but the trillions of 401(k), IRA, etc money flowing in to them over the last 40 years is no small consideration.
And even so, you could say it all settles out in the end, but that ignores the fact that there have constant constant efforts (and successes) in eroding away the e̶s̶t̶a̶t̶e̶ ̶t̶a̶x̶ "death tax" during this same period.
Long maturity products still have to be repaid. There are no "infinite" maturity loan products for retail customers.
>It's questionable that whether such loans are cash flow neutral.
There's zero question: loans are cash flow negative (for customers) with interest. Banks are not going to offer products that are not cash flow positive for the bank.