> Then again, coming back to the music parable, for a long time "amateurs" can make music with software tools without having any talent or even knowing musical notation or anything about tempo. Does that make them musicians?

I think it does. This is where everyone starts. Even with software tools, the music an amateur can make with them will be awful, at least for the time being. There will be no mistaking that it was made by an amateur at first listen. All software tools, and cheap hardware interfaces like Scarlet enabled was for people with talent to make music without access to a studio and 2 inch tape. Once the dopamine hits, you WANT to start learning about tempo, chords, theory etc. I've never heard of a "vibe coder" who wants to take the next step in learning what the code that they're generating means.