> Kalshi is already calling it a double win for Democrats.
It's quite common for Kalshi bets to go from <1% to 100% chance in minutes when news breaks. "Prediction markets" is almost Orwellian in its inaccuracy.
It's quite common for Kalshi bets to go from <1% to 100% chance in minutes when news breaks. "Prediction markets" is almost Orwellian in its inaccuracy.
Which is the precise problem with the "prediction" markets writ large. Some things just... aren't.
Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x