El Niño projected to cause 450k deaths in next six months
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
What if it is 10 times this? I worry that as drastic an event that would be ignored in short order, the same way the excess deaths in 2020 where. Maybe it will be 10 times less. 45,000 people is still lots but certainly a better out come.
Stepping back further, not just because of this but also the blow back from a war moving into war mode, I do think that 2027 is going to be a fairly rough year in general. The era of a stable global order is crumbling and the further it goes the harder it will be to bring it back IF we can bring it back.
I always think of the compound nature of these things - e.g. this happening along side some major wars, potentially a global recession, then what happens if we get another mass virus or similar at the same time. Any one of those things we can cope with (maybe?) but if/when we pile them on top of each other...