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Somewhat, but I've for sure seen new projects become grindy messes in a few weeks.

In my experience, the most difficult part of a software project is getting the specifications correct. To abuse Harold Abelson famously quote: "Programs must be written for people to read, and only incidentally for machines to execute."

"A Project must have proper tests and specs, and only incidentally for a working program that executes"

Or, evidence from a sample of poorly designed projects.

So there's evidence that it can be done badly enough that the problems show up in less than a year. That doesn't prove that more evidence will show up after a couple years, or five, but it does make one suspect that it will.

Stewardship requires a sustained commitment to quality and in some cases people just care less over time