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I predict LLMs will reach superhuman level and beat even that model in the next 12 months

Starcraft is APM-dependent. Unless the latency will improve greatly in frontier reasoning LLMs (which is unlikely), it will remain a bit like knitting with an excavator.

I predict latency will improve greatly in the next 12 months to more than 4x speed on current frontier tasks

Yeah but Starcraft needs, like, 10-20x the APM these agents are doing.

I’m not convinced a lot of it can’t be solved with code mode.

Marine staggering for example seems like an ideal code mode task.

Yeah. Some of it may just be "thinking" less rather than faster token generation.

Do the humans get to use this auto-stagger too?

The best sc2 bots these days play in the ~50,000 APM range (they could mostly go higher as well, but the game client breaks somewhere around 100k APM). I don't see an LLM-based bot getting up to that sort of speed anytime soon.

On the other hand, I do think LLM-based bots will quickly outperform the decision-making of many of the hand-coded bots, so maybe they won't need so much APM to be competitive.

Should be possible to play this with Jev.

You mean Laya? Jev is not relevant anymore

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