I noticed something odd about Jev. I tested Jev with a fair die 400 times without telling it the die result. Even though the true probability of face 1 is 1/6, Jev always chose 1 and the probability it returned was around 83%.
Oh that's interesting. Probability folds. This invites exploits, among other things.
Good point. I hadn't thought about exploits. I'm writing an article about this finding and referring to your analysis of confidence.
We reverse engineered and analyzed confidence formulas for Jev's Choice and Score. The latter was not obvious at all. In our opinion, neither is confidence.