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By definition, a black swan event cannot be predicted. It doesn't just mean "a larger fire" or "the event of a lifetime".

I’m not sure if “let fires burn a bit more” is exactly what we’re after but hazard reduction burns are absolutely a thing and are an essential part of fire risk management. I don’t think your post deserved to get slammed like that.

The region can build up resistance to big fires by having small fires.

Yeah that’s what I’m talking about

Have you considered logarithms?

Are fires and earthquakes the same?

it would appear nobody here knows. We probably ought to shut up until a seismologist decides to chime in

What would a size scientist know about fires or earthquakes anyways

They'd know how big they are, obviously.