This is done on Nemotron models + mistral, so its not very relevant to the current frontier of cheap chinese models + big models from Claude/GPT. Big miss not having qwen or deepseek in this research.
What is a noticeable improvement with something that struggles to read a message longer than 200 characters without missing information in the middle, may be a 0.000000001% improvement with a model that... almost never misses info in the first place.
I think until we have actual repeated-use measurements tracked over time (eg consistent prompts used to do the same tasks, count number of hallucinations and errors and bugs over a long period of time) you won't really have any idea of which model is better
I also think of it like a car - some just feel better to drive even if they are materially worse in other measures. until you start measuring the metrics important to you (eg MPG and cost of maintenance over a long period), you have no idea which car is actually better suited for you. and the fact that you can only do so with a limited number of cars (or hours available to work, or money to burn on tokens) means there's no true measure approaching objectivity
comparing x10 to x100 doesn’t necessary inform you about x100_000 to x1_000_000
So i can skip this study.
And there might be a point to these arguments, vaguely. However:
There never seems to be - any - kind of counter example or reasoning behind the rationale. You have an in depth and empirical study, done by researchers who, frankly, now their shit (most of the time)
And on the other hand a random internet comment saying "nope" because...the models aren't the latest.
If the latest models really would make a difference, you should at least provide some kind of evidence towards that. As it stands though, every time these comments come up this is missing.
There seems to just be a vaguely defined understanding that "everything changes all the time, and nothing you ever research is transferable to state-of-the-art models"
Which brings me to my second point about these kinds of arguments:
LLM models often - aren't - fundamentally different. Yes, they are vastly more capable. And yes, there are emergent properties. But at their core, they function very much similarly. And for quite a while now, there have not been any of these drastic changes we saw when LLMs first become "good enough" for agentic coding.
I am tired of dismissing empirical evidence and studies every. single. time for reasons without evidence and seemingly a vague sense of "no, but my model is different"
This is a field that changes significantly every few months, so using 1 year old models essentially invalidates the entire report, as they are 2 model generations behind and the newer generation models are heavily RL-d around their harness. For example they put a lot of emphasis on context management but that kind of context management isnt done anymore because many models now have 250k or 1M context and inferencing the models heavily rewards cache hits so you should never touch the context until you decide to compact. They comment on plan mode, which is something that Claude decided to remove from their client because they dont consider it needed at all anymore.