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I agree that if EU states start kicking out the US military, that would be compelling evidence of an actual shift in alignment.

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There is shift in alignment, even if the source is different. A popular headline from earlier this year was "US pulling 5000 troops from Germany"[1].

[1] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/trump-adm...

It is definitely being considered from the European side as well. Currently there's too much dependency, but this is being worked on, and not just because America wants us to contribute more to NATO.

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