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What a naive, ignorant comment. China is catching up fast on GPU fabrication. They're still a generation or two behind but they can just throw more hardware and electricity at the problem. This is not something that we could ever monitor effectively in a fascist state like China.

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I said IF the US and China agree to joint monitoring, THEN we could verify how much compute existed and what it was being used for.

YES, China will catch up in chip production, but if each side allowed the other to track GPU production and deliveries, on the ground, it would be very hard for either player to have secret LLM training facilities capable of training frontier models.

Nope. Even if China agrees they'll hide their real activities. You're so naive.

If the Chinese loves their children too.

Everyone loves their children. Not everyone believes p(doom) is higher for AI than for other things we already use like nuclear power, or for that matter, fossil fuels.

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