How can people still be hand waiving? MANY, maybe even most, of the people building these things are desperately and outspokenly concerned of major catastrophe.
What would possibly change your mind, or can it simply not be changed?
These facts are not in debate and none of us need to anthropomorphize to know what getting admin access to HF and an internal OpenAI cluster looks like.
The only reason people with P(Doom) of around 10% are even noticed these days because we've run out of new voices in the field giving 50%+ P(Doom) speculations (none of them are grounded enough to reasonably be referred to as "estimates".)
Unable or unwilling? All they have to do is stop serving the LLM requests.
Or maybe the issue is that these companies are not "serious"...