According to Demis Hassabis, someone who I think is worth listening to, we may only be one or two breakthroughs from AGI.
Even if such breakthroughs don't happen, can you imagine what it will be like working in this career in 10 years? It will be full of people who have no idea what they're doing; who just completely delegate their thinking to the machine. Working with such people will surely drive me mad.
When deep knowledge isn't incentivised anymore, all the people with deep knowledge will disappear and we'll have an industry of people who only know how to brute force problems with agents.
As long as “business” people don’t wanna do the job and prefer to pay for it. It’s like, you can fix your own sink pipes if you follow youtube video tutorials long enough… it’s just usually not worth the effort, and so you pay someone to do it.
Business people, I imagine, don’t want to deal with software at all.