On the other hand, long form writing for human consumption seems like it may evade LLMs for much, much longer.
On the other hand, long form writing for human consumption seems like it may evade LLMs for much, much longer.
All of the things you say are very true in the near term for short form writing - a page or two of Claudeslop will probably be much easier to swallow in a year or two than it is now. But I don’t see a path to fully AI-generated novels or long-form investigative journalism becoming mainstream in the next couple of years.
So, I'm not sure if it's a question of time at all: if a LLM text contains some piece of information beyond the information that went into the prompt, where does this "extra" information come from? [Note, I'm not thinking about facts which could trivially come from the training corpus, I'm thinking specifically as information in the sense of intended message from sender (author) to receiver (reader)]
[1] cf. this comment where I explain this analogy between LLMs and noise channel in communication theory: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49510244