So any universe expanding within a black hole of ours has to exist with only the mass that fell into it? How would it produce black holes itself with so little mass?
We know that in our own universe, the (positive) mass energy of matter and its (negative) gravitational energy net out to zero. But that means the amount of energy required to build a universe like ours is essentially… well, none. (See Laurence Krauss’s book, A Universe from Nothing; or Stephen Hawking and James Hartle’s 1983 paper, The Wave Function of the Universe, and Hawking’s later book with Leonard Mlodinow, The Grand Design, etc.)
Child universes are therefore effectively free to produce. Thus, over time, evolution will favor making more (and smaller) black holes from the same amount of matter. Yes, the black holes will get smaller – but the universes they give birth to, through Big Bangs, will still be full sized.
And universes aren’t constrained by a shared environment with limited resources – newborn universes aren’t all competing in a valley with a limited amount of grass. Indeed, each new universe is entirely self-contained and self-sufficient, being both organism and environment – it supplies its own energy for its own development, efficiently and frugally, through stellar fusion, gravitational collapse, et cetera.
This means evolution should ultimately favour runaway black hole production. (And that checks out: in the most recent estimate, in 2022, by a team from the International School of Advanced Studies in Trieste, our universe was estimated to have already generated up to a trillion supermassive black holes – and 40 quintillion stellar-collapse black holes.)
The low-black-hole universes aren't going to stop "procreating" because high-black-hole universes exist. At most, all you can say is that if you select a universe at random, it's likely to be a high-black-hole universe.
And I think you can use that fact to argue the theory's wrong: because surely our own universe is an LBH universe? A trillion is rookie numbers. There must be universes that produce vastly more black holes than ours, so the chances of us ending up in such an LBH universe at random are vanishingly small.
> And universes aren’t constrained by a shared environment with limited resources – newborn universes aren’t all competing in a valley with a limited amount of grass.
Yeah, that's what I'm trying to say. Without competition, it's not evolution.
That's a heritable trait, not selection pressure. Remember, we're talking about an infinite population size here, but if the pop. size was capped then the mechanism that decided who got to replicate and who didn't would be the selection pressure.
Can you ELI5 why you think the varying replication rate is, by itself, a selection pressure? Because your point's obviously going over my head, and your last comment did nothing to communicate it more clearly.
> At most, all you can say is that if you select a universe at random, it's likely to be a high-black-hole universe.
Yeah, that's sufficient when it's caused by their heritable properties. The proportion of high-black-hole to low-black-hole universes will approach 1:0.
Extinction is not part of the definition of selection pressure. Even in biology we still call it selection when a species merely gets pushed to the margins of an environment instead of driven extinct, or when a trait merely becomes uncommon instead of disappearing.