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The "Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention" has been broken 4 times:

- NATO v Yugoslavia 1999 - India v Pakistan 1999 - Russia v Georgia 2008 - Russia v Ukraine 2014, 2022

NATO v Yugoslavia 1999 is not like the others

What is the denominator? I.e. how many times did it prevent war?

There is no way no know. Any number is an acceptable answer. For a good answer you can find lots of reasoning/logic/history to justify your guess, but it is still a guess.

Without it the parent post is irrelevant.

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