Murder is always systematically kind of a dramatic act. We are definitely going to get a prediction market murder in <5 years, I think.
Even thinking/writing about this now, it still makes obvious sense and I'm surprised it hasn't been seriously made yet with crypto: if there's a pot of billions, contributed to by millions, the incentive becomes not just about the money, but the adoration, protection and power that would come with doing so many people a favour.
But these problems would likely be self-resolving in most cases as the crypto pot owner would simply rug-pull everyone.