In 2024 Trump got some of the youth vote, still not a majority. Trump never won Gen X (or at least Millennial) and below.
So the prediction sounds right? The Republicans have burnt the youth vote pretty badly and have never really recovered.
So the prediction sounds right? The Republicans have burnt the youth vote pretty badly and have never really recovered.
(See, e.g. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2025/06/26/voting-patte... and https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls. Annoyingly, the polls don't cleanly break down into generations; Gen X would be the ~44-60 crowd for that election.)