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You're betting on getting getting ridiculously powerful chips to run on batteries in a tiny housing without cooling, while we can't even get enough RAM? It would be a terrible waste of resources. Now we already have TFLOPs wasting in our pockets and backpacks, then we'll have PFLOPs idling, because there's so much time between prompts. Much more efficient to batch it on a server.

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At some point we'll have enough RAM, surely. The incentives to produce more are huge and all the fabs are booked out.

Maybe it'll take 10 years or 20 years. <5 years is not long enough for manufacturing to catch up.

Not much of a comment on the phone stuff but I'd caution against suggesting technology will never be good enough to do X. Maybe it'll be horrendously wasteful but it might happen.

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