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Nothing wrong with a conservative take, especially given all the hype, but I often wonder if its hard to see the magnitude of the change at "day-to-day" speed.

And the emotions one gets from reading the "takes" on news sites, blogs, etc leaves a bad taste in ones mouth and in hoping there is no change, we make it even harder to see.

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A few years ago, when this all started, we had major breakthroughs fairly often that would throw out all the existing tooling. Now, most of the breakthroughs have to do with improvements to the tools instead. All the gains I see personally have to do with agent upgrades, system prompt tuning, skill tuning, context optimization, etc. Didn’t the last Anthropic release come with some system prompt updates too? Plateauing of the LLMs themselves has long since been the case but that means they’re stable enough to build on which isn’t bad.

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