An extreme swing, here and there, has always been part of its nature.
The observed change is more and more extreme swings, greater amplitude, higher frequency.
We saw already around 2020 or so that specialists opinions didn't really matter. Feelings and politicians opinions were more relevant... so "nobody in planet modelling" means nothing if Politicians and Activists tries to create this link..
Al Gore, if I remember correctly, and António Guterres, i think last month, tried to create this link already.. probably others too?
Especially in climate change "debate".
You want to imply doubt about climate change without saying it, using dog whistles and vague accusations of "feelings".
You did not stated a single fact, you apparently dont know much about topic, but you know some experts and politicians opinions are wrong.
These are all scientific facts that are indisputable. We can also show that its a fact heat affects weather and its not a very far stretch to trapping more heat every year with more CO2 affects global weather. Trapping more heat across the globe AKA global warming are indisputable facts. We can measure CO2 levels every year and global temperature trends.
Doesnt matter who says it, there's a ton of peer reviewed science for every statement there. What's to dispute?
I have spent a few decades in exploration geophysics at world scale; gravity, tides, radiometrics, upward & downward continuations of magnetic fields, etc is more my speed.
I suspect you may have some confusion, trapped heat from the sun's visible light drives ENSO (a kind of delayed oscillator with noise) and so human added insulation trapping more heat drives ENSO harder (like pushing a kid on a swing harder) but human activity didn't create ENSO - the atmospheric climate cells and swing sets were already there long before humans first planted crops.
in another hand, i question if we really could rule out, since back in the days, everything that we have was coal.
The global amount of coal use in the 1880s was non zero, sure, but overall the CO2 emissions from those tonnages were minuscule compared to modern emissions within the past 50 years .. and we have direct libraries of atmosphere created since the early years of the Cold War and many pocket captures for the past 200 years, with proxies (such as ice core bubbles) going back far longer.
ENSO predates heavy coal use - so it's not something created by human activity, and as noted the first uses of coal were barely enough to move the needle (recall that collieries kept records so we have a fair handle on tonnages extracted).