Hinton said 10 years, what do you say? Could you maybe take from his prediction being wrong that you should practice some humility? Of all the pro-AI arguments people make, the "eventually it will happen" one is one of the strangest. Yes, and eventually the sun will blow up, so what the fuck are we talking about here? Most smart people ten years ago thought truck drivers, cab drivers, radiologists, and customer support would be obsolete by now, hasn't happened.