One clue was that during corruption incidents, our metrics showed that SQLite would report copying more pages from the WAL file than were actually available. If there are 10 pages in the WAL file and 20 pages get copied to the database, something is clearly wrong.
vs
it thinks some of the pages have been copied from the WAL into the main database file, but they haven’t. Those pages never get written to the database file, and that data is permanently lost.
The first says "more were copied than existed" but the second says "fewer were copied than should have been."
Like I said, it's probably just me interpreting something incorrectly.