Not to mention huge quant firms that paid more than 4x your salary just to get a trading latency advantage
So basically if you’re larping as a trader you will consistently get your ass handed to you unless you are genuinely better than all the pros, but if you’re investing or optimizing for a specific risk profile/exposure/timeline you’re playing a different game.
Anyway the fact that it’s so hard to explain this stuff to individuals does strengthen the argument that most individuals are better off following the herd.
their edge is basically political so that they get a bail out and thats what the quants will never see in their models.
not to get cynical further, just do what the GP says, buy index or figure out what the biggest movers are and buy those for more exposure