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why would you get downvoted, that's one of the most obvious next step

Because reddit unironically has better decorum around usage of their upvote/downvote system than HN does.

People on HN downvote objectively correct information because they don't like it 24/7. There's a reason the creator of Zig left and gave the computer version of a middle finger on the way out to HN!

fwiw pg said early on that downvoting for disagreement is perfectly fine: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=117171

commenting about voting is also something the HN guidelines warns against:

> Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It never does any good, and it makes boring reading.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Reminds me of telling employees to not discuss their wages. If voting here is such a toxic experience, maybe HN needs to wake up and smell the garbage.

You define OPs post as "objectively correct information" even though it is an unknown future event for which they provided zero evidence?

There's nothing wrong about that. Historically I have experienced this behaviour on hackernews multiple times, hence my comment.

Since when have hackernews started to become toxic like stackoverflow used to be?

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