Why the bond market is doubting Fed chairman Warsh
axios.com
axios.com
> Longer-term bond yields soared, with 30-year Treasuries reaching 5.21% on Thursday morning, the highest since 2007.
That doesn't make sense to me. Treasury yields are basically a projection of future interest rates. If Treasuries were sold off and their yields rose, that would mean the market actually expects interest rate hikes.
Nope, treasury yields are in an inverse linear relationship with Fed's real interest rate. In the absence of rate hikes, the real interest rate goes down so treasury yields go up.