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the real question is what booms when electrician work busts

Social workers. Unemployment agency workers.

oil

Not for long. 1-2 economic cycles and oil and gas will probably be 20-40% of what they are now.

Useful to keep in mind when choosing a new career.

We're heading into a period where you need to adapt your life to a career on a dime, and be ready to switch again. SW engineering is going away.

No, it won't. Unless we AGI, which we won't with LLMs.