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It should not. There is exactly zero reason for all this data to leave the premises.

> For your typical ‘dumb’ home user

Well, yeah. That's the problem. There is no explanation to the dumb user why this stat is only available while connected to home network.

My solar production data is fed to my ISO so I can sell clean energy vouchers. My solar installer just called me the other day asking if I had a tree shading a panel, because production on that panel was low. There are plenty of reasons to have internet connected solar equipment.

Outbound connection to your provider with stats? Good.

Random connection to any IP especially on China territory? Absolutely not.

But that IP is your provider, and the data being sent is stats.

How do you know that, or can predict it?

Using IPv6! But also we should ban IPv6 because of security! Letting devices connect to each other without bouncing through a central server is a security risk! (This is a popular opinion on HN)

Regardless of broadband existing or not, there was never supposed to be an abscence of dial-up.