Urbanization of Dubai
earthobservatory.nasa.gov
earthobservatory.nasa.gov
Also, building glass boxes in the scorching desert heat does not make good environmental sense. They should be building more of this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IE-wHF5zf0k
Remember the fallacy of the unseen. It's easy to marvel at what has been built (albeit at a net loss) and forget the alternate uses of those resources.
That said, Abu Dhabi is actually trying to do just that. They're buying off entire departments of western universities, offering generous research grants if the department is relocated to Abu Dhabi. The idea is to bootstrap a tradition of higher education.
I think we can check it off the list..
i know many countries in the region (namely kuwait and saudi) utilize desalinization on a large scale, though i’ve heard it's only economically viable where oil is extremely cheap and abundant, which (as far as i know) is not the case in dubai..
seems like the environment would lend itself well to nuclear (a lot of barren, uninhabited, seemingly geologically stable, space), which i'd imagine could fuel desalinization plants just fine.
UAE is also enroute to building its first nuclear power plant, but it's not what's powering desalination at this point.
The historical lifetime of residential buildings rarely exceeds even 100 years - with notable exceptions only.
How far ahead do you think we should be considering when building? 100 years? 300? 500? 1000? The Earth is not static, and practically all land that we stand on today will become dramatically different at some (probably distant) point in the future.
Cities rise and fall faster than the climate changes around them - even when accounting for man-made climate change. Cities are also organic, continually redeveloping - with portions of it becoming disused and broken, while previously disused parts become revitalized.
Considering the timescales we're looking at, the natural lifespan of most coastal buildings would be considerably less than the encroaching waters, and more than enough time for cities to organically grow away from them.
So wtvanhest's position seems sensible. There is really no reason to not live on the coastline today.
Also, a house that is known to last only 100 years will be harder to sell in 50 years time, so forget about the pension investment benefit of buying such a house (yes, that should affect current house prices, but I think humans in general do not understand long time horizons that well)
Back to the subject proper: Dubai is gambling that they can become a Vegas and keep making money that way. That bet may pay out, but it is not a bet I would make. Problem is that there is no middle way here. Sure, if their income will be half what they expect it to be, they can kick foreigners out to keep the $/capita at decent levels, but what would they do with all those houses than? Demolish? Huge loss of money. Keep around? Even larger loss because of maintenance costs. Turn into a ghost town? That might become a tourist attraction.
Also, Vegas has survived so long by consuming the water from the Colorado river, but that is not sustainable. I expect huge problems in Vegas within 20 years. Dubai starts in the 'no water' position. But hey, I am not an economist, so don't take my word for it.
Can't wait.
A lot of us western expats have headed to greener shores; the oil boom in Azerbaijan is one draw, a lot of the build-up in Qatar at the gas fields is another, and Western Australia is also helping things along quite a bit.
Wage rates for expats have fallen through the floor in the middle east as well - where one once could make a king's ransom in a year or two in the sand trap, now it's not so much the case, even in Saudi Arabia.
Now, it's not my favourite city, but I don't understand all the hate towards it. They've got a lot of oil money that's not going to last and they need to pivot to something else. Dubai is their attempt.
I would understand if they built something useful, something high-tech, like a CPU factory or some biotech stem cell research city. Instead they went for a caricature of Las Vegas, but with all kinds of laws against what normally is considered fun.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/04/04/dubai-kissing-coupl...
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-512815/Briton-jailed...
http://articles.nydailynews.com/2012-12-06/news/35654144_1_d...
http://www.nairaland.com/175589/russian-woman-arrested-dubai...
Of all the ME petrostates, UAE is by a long shot and then some the most liberal and has the most diversified economy. It's also moving the fastest towards becoming more liberal and getting a more diversified economy.
The kicker here, of course, is the meaning of being the most liberal "of all the ME petrostates" - the bar is not very high. That said, if you're married, western, well-paid, can keep your hands off your partner in public, don't routinely get obscenely drunk and don't do drugs (many, many people fall into this bucket without giving up any quality of life), you could find much worse places to live.
In my experience, the number of people who actually live this lifestyle without giving up any quality of life is a far, far, far smaller number than the number of people who apparently live this lifestyle without giving up any quality of life.
The greatest myth of modern Western society is that freaks are actually uncommon.
Being the best among the worst is not exactly a good indicator.
Dubai doesn't have a very diversified economy - 90% of exports is oil.
And I claimed no such thing. But there is value in comparing countries to comparable countries. In the case of UAE, that's Saudi Arabia, not Sweden.
> 90% of exports is oil.
Yeah, no. Dubai is a major trading hub with a significant financial and services sector. Oil accounts for just under half of exports of all of the UAE[1] - and the oil isn't in Dubai, it's in Abu Dhabi, so the local number for Dubai is likely much lower. The economy of both the UAE broadly, and Dubai specifically, is still deeply dependant on oil, and there's no doubt that a collapse in oil prices would be totally devastating to the economy. But, as previously stated, they are rapidly diversifying (while they have the money to do so), but this is a process with a horizon of several decades.