It matters a lot what kind of tasks AI would be able to solve.
Two completely different worlds arise if AI can do what I call a modern PhD grunt work vs it being able to produce genius of Nash/Einstein/Lovelace etc.
And the way to test it is trying to produce modern math and science results with those historical LLM models or something similar:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46319826
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47927903
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46319826