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I'd say recreating an existing website as is, is the easier task. Doing a look alike, even if the models do take some shortcuts on the way is doable right now. You have a template frontend to compare to. Now if it would scale to the number of users is a different ask and harder to validate for the models.

Building something new is where they struggle most.

I totally agree, but a lot of this debate comes down to the definition of apocalypse a 20% reduction in jobs will affect a huge amount of people who will fill all forums with complaints of job getting difficulty without being an apocalypse.

In tech at least in the US, there already has been a 20% reduction in jobs, because they were overhired by 200% during the pandemic. Plenty of bleed in the industry left and very little is because of AI.

Same with design and art direction. I think we might see a temp slowdown in the workforce but companies will want to stand out again after realizing the slop machines spit out fairly cookie cutter designs.

Tell that to recruiters requiring leet code tests for Senior/Leadership roles. Absolutely idiotic market at the moment.