i'm still pretty confident someone like my mom wouldn't be able to do my job even with the same access to all the latest LLMs, so we're still providing some value, just in a very different way. whether the market will reprice the cost of our labor, we will see
That's yet to happen. 90% of software dev skills are still relevant - AI is, for now, just a productivity boost.
Between juniors with LLMs and seniors who don't like AI, I'd hire the junior, but I think the trend in 2026 will be to hire senior people who enjoy producing code with LLMs.
I'm somewhere between 10-60x more productive than I used to be. My day cycles between 3-6 different projects, bug fixes, development cycles. Each one them going ten times faster than I could on my own.
We don't even consider bringing on vendors or saas anymore. We only look at our existing vendors and think about getting rid of them.
There is a rift though. Some teams are still just "playing with it". Our offshore workers who haven't seemed to increase their velocity at all. In the next couple of years there's going to be a pretty big wrecking. Those that are agentic and those who are not.
I always ask myself if I'm still bringing value. But then I look at what I'm talking to the computer about. And the amount of different tech stacks algorithms. Tricky business logic isn't something that you can just pick somebody off the street and do.
For now there is value. Only today Opus 5 suggested a really bad but totally workable approach to an edge problem. It would work by putting a lot of undue stress on infra. People would add infra. A simple pushback reduced a O(n) to a O(1) solution - and that was my value added. I bump into those things regularly.
I think the labs want to address the clueless dev market - hence the "proactivity" in Fable. But it will be a difficult thing to balance.
Spent maybe 7 hours of promoting with Fable.
I wanted to get drag and drop right, and I wanted good code architecture to start with.
It’s using TinyBase for data storage.
Here’s how far I got in 7 hours: https://focuslist.app
Yes, much faster than writing all of that by hand.
But prompting quality software into existence? No way. It would take at least another full time week to finish that app with all the detail I desire.
50 hours of work seems like a tiny investment.
I guess kinda - the job will change from "frontend developer" to "UI inventor"..
Another thing that helps is pointing it to patterns in an existing codebase (e.g. "use the box-link pattern for cards, as shown in [..]").
EDIT: The point being that even if they make mistakes that are easy to spot and fix _now_, you'd have to assume that in the very near future those kinks will be ironed out - I mean, the capabilities are only going in one direction.
Thanks out can also hook it to Playwright with Axe and let it run assessments.