Yes, anthropic and openai have really been brought to their knees and ipos cancelled because of the legal consequences of obtaining their training data.
Anthropic (and friends) proved they're willing to do obviously illegal things, and it didn't end them. Why do we think they stopped after doing it once?
Which ballpark are you playing in to come to a number like that? I have friends whom are authors, and they've certainly not seen a penny from Anthropic. I somehow doubt they're the only ones out there that haven't been compensated for having their work blatantly stolen. In a just world we'd be ensuring Anthropic was destroyed as a result of their actions, since their entire existence hinged on en-masse piracy.
(If, big if*) successful AGI will be such an accelerant to human thought, it should be able to reproduce every human work, every scientific theory, etc. without any training data, in a decade.
All we have ever done as humans is look at the world and ourselves, and then create new data out of what we've seen[0]. Now imagine how much parallel compute we could throw at doing the same thing.
[0] https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=f-XyJ3GlrWw
* Big, enormous, trillion dollar if.