FAANG Simulator
abeyk.com
abeyk.com
what a wonderful way to reflect reality for a good population of devs.
you can hack the game i.e real life
1. live in a cheaper location 2. do things that don't scale & do the ugly work
that naturally extends your runway, you don't need to apply to YC
remember the median Pay in the US - is 61800 based on ADP the largest payroll provider.
so before aiming for millions aim for 85K. yeah a far cry from the FAANG wage - but one - you will never get laid off.
85K - you can live everywhere besides the coastal US cities comfortably.
However, money is not everything to me. While the salary is not truly impressive, my job has a lot of benefits. People sleep on these jobs while chasing MegaCorp clout which is cool and all, but I am just a redneck clever enough to write bad code. I don't want FAANG, and FAANG doesn't want me.
> Unless you have a family, want to travel
We have generous PTO, sick leave, bereavement leave, 6 weeks of paternity leave for mothers AND fathers, 16 holidays off, etc.. Plus, many offices are 100% remote (mine is 3/5 days a week).
> want an ample retirement fund
I have a Pension, 401k, and a 457(b) all through my employer. I am fortunate that the pension is also fully funded for over 30 years in advance. Plus, PTO rolls into sick time annual and sick time can be used to purchase service time, thus one can retire even faster than the typical 30 year timeframe.
> have complex health issues
We have great health insurance plans, and my office has been wonderful in dealing with people with very complex health issues. Way more than what I expect the private industry would do.
Guess how many people have been laid off from my office? ;)
Sure, if one was FAANG caliber, then a few mill would be left on the table periodically. However, when is enough ever enough? I seriously feel like I do not need millions to be happy in life.
This is far from true. There are plenty of expensive places to live away from the coasts
In 2000, very possible
In 2010, probable
In 2026, unlikely
Our family lived in HCOL places like Boston and LA before returning to Cincinnati a few years ago. It’s still cheaper than those but wow… I remember it being a lot cheaper when I left. Since we returned it’s gone up even more. Some neighborhoods went up by as much as 25% in the last 5 years and are not coming down.
I’ve been convinced for years that the inflation numbers are cooked. Or at least “massaged.” I don’t understand how people with only near median salaries live. It’s amazing there aren’t riots.
PNW dweller here, ^^^ this feels _insane_. average private school tuition for a single child is above $25k, nevermind kids pural! :O
I own a modest 3b2b house.
My mortgage plus daycare for two kids alone costs $78k/year (~$6.5k/month)
People making 85K absolutely get laid off.
(Whether this makes you more resistant to being "fired" is still up for debate of course.)
"The market" lays you off - or heavily reduces your salary.
The "Rat-Race" playdata could be aggregated into a static (or not) database after a representative point has been reached, more or less like a present-day snapshot even if it is not expected to stand the test of time for very many years. How could it anyway? But it could be good for now. People don't play games forever either.
Now there is already a built-in predictive element to this data since players are optimizing for early retirement.
Then use that as your gameboard, kind of like in the appropriately named Monopoly[0] game. Now in parallel to the truly aspirational predictive element, you run an "economy" against it which is naturally more of a moving target.
So on that not-so-imaginary playing field, you the hypervisory player compete with other "policymakers" to see who can extract the most upcoming wealth from the FAANGsters before a fixed deadline or something.
The objective is to end up with as few as possible of the high-earners having much more to show for it compared to middle-class wage workers :\
Measured by how much your policies contributed to the greatest amount of predicted early retirement dates turning out to be as unrealistic as possible. Perhaps in dollars. Or maybe dollars/rat-race-player.
Without crashing the economy beyond the point where policy has no more leverage :0
[0] And Monopoly led to "Acquire", the 3M board game.
Acquire was not focusing on the rent-seeking itself but built on the "gameboard" assumption that the well-established underlying rent-seeking of those properties was as universal as ever.
Monopoly of course concentrating on the real estate aspect, seeking greater rents by building and/or making real estate deals for all of the homes and hotels in one market as possible. All but one winner goes bankrupt every time, that's why they call it Monopoly. Note a very fortunate player can sometimes bankrupt everyone else before building any hotels at all, in this case the game is over and nothing upscale ever arrives.
OTOH Acquire is shareholder-focused where the hotels are in chains and the trading action and cash comes from shares not real estate. Chains are built and merged on the board with inevitability, there is still a strong tendency toward a final monopoly when fully built out, but often a duopoly or even triopoly is where the market ends up. There is a higher strategy/luck ratio, and one of the most "rewarding" things is that no matter how things end up, everybody makes money and nobody goes bankrupt. Imagine that, but do consider where would all that money come from in the real world?
Monopoly is more of pure rent-seeking, these are of course hotels, but both games play exactly the same with the hotel feature completely abstracted away into any kind of such derivative behavior.
Dreaming of something does not make it real.
Even in Germany, where going to university is very cheap, people have such dreams of social ascent by getting a degree. Here is a German article about how this does not always go well:
> https://www.blaetter.de/ausgabe/2016/august/exzellente-entqu...
> https://archiv.telepolis.de/features/Exzellente-Entqualifizi...
once you get to 85K whether via consulting, your own apps etc - you don't get laid off in case I wasn't clear.
I'm aiming for 85k (or there abouts) after a few years of earning nothing. But I can't help but feel like a failure because distribution and convincing people to use my software is extremely difficult. I don't want to go back to the tech industry but at the same time I don't know if I have it in me to go "yeah, I'm still working on my <insert dream here> but I have 0 - 10 users" for the next few years.
That hit pretty hard...
In my personal experience, the jobs I have taken which paid less treated me as cheaper and more disposable. This is not to say all companies are like this, and indeed many do value tech employees they could not afford otherwise more, but making a blanket statement about any pay figure is sort of a bad idea.
The FAANG workplace environment is something you will pay for. There are reasons it pays well, and I never really understood this until I left. I do not mean merely 'doing your job'.
As for the last part of your reply, I am guessing it was meant to get reactionary replies (touché).
I mean, it paid well in the early-mid 2010s also and was way less toxic.
It certainly had its share of toxic traits, but it was at the "what place doesn't?" level.
That’s my experience. The more I have made in my career, the better and with more respect I got treated. As freelance I did some projects with non profit “do gooders”. They didn’t pay well and treated people horribly. On the other hand, successful companies will treat you well and pay well.
When I lived abroad and was going for cheap, since I was so damned burnt out, most of the people who did not manage to totally convince locals to treat them like a local paid way more for things like rent (though still very cheap by American standards). I mean, you could find cheaper places, but I wouldn't expect not to pay for it in other ways. I mean unless you were just sort of roaming around, couch surfing (easier a couple decades ago, before AirB&B got so popular probably).
The most I could imagine ten thousand lasting, even scrounging, anywhere I lived, was probably around half a year at most (much less if rent was not factored in, or if you are sharing a place of course; I was not). That'd mostly include parts of Asia, and Central America. And most places like that, connectivity came at sort of a premium price. The internet between a vps in the states and southeast asia was damn slow fifteen years ago.
Couldn't have been too fun when that ten thou ran out. I would never have left the country with no modicum of a guarantee of income upon returning. Gutsy move.
The part about living on that $10k was not so much what threw me (I mean, you CAN live on $1k a month, and I know people did it, certainly back in 2012, but you are not going to be eating much Western food, or springing for many extravagances like Western brand liquors, probably). What threw me was how, halfway or 2/3rds of the way through that year, without that ongoing idea of replacing that $1k a month, anything going wrong would seriously suck. Locals work and replace spent money with money. So do expats.
> You would not live as an American would, though.
yeah, not being American was definitely contributing factor too.
Getting work in tech 15 years ago after a break was hella easy compared to now. Guessing you, like I, are also deep into the years of maybe being called overqualified.
I guess the crypto bros and influencers have taken over a lot of whatever you wanna call what existed during the few decades when tech expats had it. Sorta changed forever when all the betting platforms became legal in America (whether you are or were American), too. The mood changed. So did the local populaces.
I worked remote when I traveled.
From the creators of how to draw the owl, lol!
I think too many people just have poor spending habits (or children).
Even New York City has a median household income of ~80K. Half of all households in NYC survive on that.
It is not like ah.. there is my 85K job or 150K job and now I will never get fired or laid off.,
Late stage capitalism will find its way to make it more efficient at 85K level or at 1.5M level. Pick your red/blue pill.
Please explain this assertion.
Like there's a place near me, I don't even think they would pay $85K though. Maybe for higher positions, but closer to $70k. They are pretty much always hiring lots of IT positions. They make firetrucks and pretty much only sell them regionally, but are set with orders for like 25+ years. Their low skill positions fill up fast though.
once you get to 85K whether via consulting, your own apps etc - you don't get laid off in case I wasn't clear.
my apologies for not being clear enough.
And if you are a US citizen and get randomly get thrown into a group of mostly non-citizen coworkers they will grind like hell due to the above, and if you don't grind extra hard you get the PIP faster, because you're stack ranked against them
i hope your kids are not sewing shoes instead of getting an education.
If you're in H1B at a FAANG, you unfortunately don't have that luxury, because if you don't work 80 you may be put into PIP and forced to uproot your entire family and destroy your kids' education if you can't nail another job within 60 days. And so in groups with both H1Bs and citizens/PRs, a lot of H1Bs will work harder, out of fear, not because they actually want to, and if there is a stank ranking system, the ones who don't fear will be the ones who get PIP more easily because they respect their bodies' limits.
I was just suggesting that the game can simulate both of these modes, the second being drastically harder.
If you're not familiar with savings rate, here's a simple calculator to help build intuition. The assumptions of asset returns & portfolio required to sustain retirement are a bit optimistic, but it's directionally correct: https://networthify.com/calculator/earlyretirement
You need roughly a 15% savings rate to support traditional retirement age. If you're fortunate enough to create & sustain a situation where your income net tax is a lot higher than your annual expenses, the timeline accelerates significantly.
seems completely reasonable to model this as income.
> health insurance contributions
If your employer provides a health insurance benefit that would otherwise cost you $X / yr, you could model that as +$X / yr income and +$X / yr expenses.
Simple FIRE calculators like that Networthify one assume that your expenses in retirement are the same as when you are working, but that's probably not true for many people, for numerous reasons: health insurance once you're not longer working, paying off a mortgage, children launching into the workforce, increasing health expenses as you age, lifestyle changes when you're not working, potentially moving to a different area with a different cost of living.
But as a 0-th order approximation, assuming expenses in retirement are the same as when you are working is a place to start when assembling a rough plan.
My experience: I feel like I could build a real product solo much more quickly than ever before, but the reality is my side-projects have been mostly futzing around with coding agents and related infrastructure - like building my own command proxy system with LLM review/classification & deterministic approval policy - for sandboxed agents to manage cloud infrastructure in controlled ways - building the builder who never builds. I see a lot of that kind of stuff on Twitter too.
Now to be fair, there are windows of time where that really did happen for some few. As a craftsman developer, I have the same wet dream. The problem is I know it’s just a dream now that I’m older.
So what AI has done is condense the frame in which a developer can spend years toiling away in the belief that they just need to keep going. Now the feedback loop is more instantly connected to reality and the reality is most all this stuff nobody wants or needs. starting a business now is ironically about all the business bits and that’s just rather annoying for builders like the HN crowd, myself included. This is more cathartic than anything. What do I know about entrepreneurial success?
But also you could write the god damn best software out there but if you can't convince people to open the web page or download the app then it goes nowhere. Absolutely nowhere.
Unexpected given what I know second-hand about the valley - which is to grind leetcode and keep job hopping.
RAT RACE · ACQUIRED sold the company at 25 · walked away with $6.40M · peak burnout 82%
RAT RACE · ACQUIRED sold the company at 26 · walked away with $11.37M · peak burnout 91%
RAT RACE · ACQUIRED sold the company at 26 · walked away with $8.96M · peak burnout 95%
Trying to balance grind, touch grass and side project took me 20 years before retiring with 20'ish millions after selling a hard-worked side project.
It seems that if you ignore work and do "side project" only from first month, your networth increases with the compensation when you are fired, and if you last one year (almost all runs), you can keep "side project" indefinitely.
/s
And since I won with an age, company, and title that is literally me right now... Well, I'm not exactly sure what to do with it information but some internalization is in order.
Anyone else in the club?
Gotta go grind out some AI B2B Agentic project now...
What about doing something meaningful like, how they say, fix grandma's printer...
That was fun. Side-projected spam, touched grass once, YC, Side-project one more time, launch, acquired.
Same strategy, seems to be the winning one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Suite_(video_game)
Very good too, actually, assuming you enjoy the premise of CYOA in the corporate world. You can play it online for free if you want to give it a whirl.
RAT RACE #2 · ESCAPED out in 15y 3q with $1.47M · peak burnout 94%
But, back in the day FIRE used to mean something beyond just being rich - there was an anti-consumerist bent (and expectation that you'd move away from your expensive city/former job) that usually went along with lower spending.
I find this unsettling because it hints that the people who built this game are more naive than I am. And this is a game about a cynical topic.
It reminds me of the narrative "No matter how bad you think it is, reality is worse."
The idea that the engineer is creating "shareholder value" is part of the conditioning. They're creating complexity and literally running a hamster wheel. Even more so than the game suggests. Lighting fires and putting them out. They are lucky to have this job where you can get away with this kind of pure performative engineering. Seriously, Netflix looks exactly the same as it did years ago. Same with Facebook. The fact that they have so many users and make so much money has nothing to do with engineering and everything to do with attention monopolization and incentive structures among investors to circulate money between companies that they have a stake in.
Working for a bootstrapped startup; that's real value creation because there is enormous risk involved and no engineer wants to take that risk.
Of course the value creation goes away as soon as the startup raises funding because then they become part of the club and the risk is taken out.
Working for FAANG is more like being appointed to the king's court. The king's fool is not creating any economic value for the average working citizen... And the line for that job is long. Being chosen is not based on skill or talent. Talent is abundant. It's a kind of lottery.
That said, I do think a lot of cynical engineers have a "Rat race" worldview and not the "Hamster wheel" one.
From my perspective, it's like if someone made a joke about genocide. My sarcasm detector switches off. This topic and this game is traumatic to me.
Also, the amount of money which is needed to retire in the game is huge! $1.7 million! I'm not even expecting to reach that at retirement. The fact that someone believes they can get this in a few years of grinding reveals a very cushy worldview...
What I would do for that kind of money...
I've been grinding like insane, nights and weekends for almost 15 years and my net worth is like $200k, 30% of it illiquid in a retirement fund. I never got a bonus, in spite of being called "the best engineer at the company" to my face by the company founder. After asking for a raise, they offered a 2% salary increase... This was a cryptocurrency company with a lot of money to spare.
Firstly, it's trivial to prove that the hiring process is broken and discriminatory. Secondly, history is not an indication of future performance. Just because it's been working out for big tech over the past few decades, doesn't mean this will continue. Especially when you look at the socio-political environment today, the risk profile is incredibly high... For a vanishing return.
For me to become a millionaire through big tech, starting from today, the previous batch of tech bros would have to be pushed into the billionaire bracket... That's how much the stock would have to go up from where it is now to make me a millionaire. There would be hundreds of thousands of big-tech ex-employee billionaires? Made billionaire purely because they were lucky enough to be offered an opportunity at the right company at the right time. That's just not fair, nor realistic.
So getting access to an opportunity to take a tech test from a big tech company is just the first hurdle. And the tech test isn't even a good measure of skill!
Should a rank-and-file mediocre developer who joined Microsoft 10 years ago who has since been fired due to poor performance become a billionaire passive Microsoft shareholder?
The amount of corruption which would have to take place to make this happen is unfathomable. They'd need to release all the criminals from US prisons and hire them to work as gate keepers for big tech.
Suboptimal use of the opportunities available to you is the kinder option here.
But you know.
In reality I am 11 years in, nowhere near escape and maybe at 80% burnout.
Sounds about right for someone who was born in the late 70s and got in in the 90s.
It's youthful exuberance that can pretend it was ever anything else.
The magical way to get paid turned out to be advertising, giving us Google and Facebook and their invasions of privacy. If, instead, we'd had a culture of paying people for their time and effort, and not a bunch of freeloaders, who knows how things would look today. Proprietary and locked down, perhaps. But also maybe not?
/rant.
High starting money, but low tolerance for burnout. Poverty, but extremely high tolerance for burnout. Can't find a job debuff. Low skill, grifter, false promises, lie to win. (Rolling chance to end up in prison). High skill start, low tolerance for burnout. ADHD debuff. Picking the opposite option of what you want debuff.
Also advance game by 1 month instead of 3 months.
Slanting toward the fantasy genre here.
Oh no... I just sympathized with Elon and the Epstein class.
Let's walk that back... $15.11m for 14 years work, over a million per year, because I got lucky in the end. It's all a casino, and your labor/life is the table stakes.
That $6.02 Trillion?, that's an illusion, because if anyone decided to sell big, half would vanish immediately, more likely 80% or more.
What an impressive, and depressing game.
did i win???
Also (so far) layoffs + severance have been good. They work well in the game too - take the severance, touch grass and leet code, get a new job
Accepted a voluntary leave with a generous severance, then, used the cushion to ship relentless on side project. Ended up with 7.1 M offer that netted me 6.7 million.
Also, eerily accurate timeline!
Maybe if you live by yourself, or have someone contributing a second income, and inflation doesn’t catch up with you