China: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f8/Populati...
Japan: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/2e/Japan_po...
South Korea: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4a/South_Ko...
United States: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c9/US_Popul...
Europe: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/86/Europe_p...
Also the technology carries over to defense purposes
And then there’s the fact that tremendous investment is going into all things AI, and now hard tech
https://www.rethinkx.com/blog/rethinkx/the-disruption-of-lab...
(Fwiw, >20 years ago RethinkX correctly projected the exponential cost declines of solar and batteries, when everybody else was drawing straight lines.)
I dont see it, unless this is an expectation that a robot will work for 50 years without maintenance at capex.
Why doesnt a comparable tool, like an excavator, work with this math? Why arent they 100 times cheaper to run than 20 years ago? Excavators can cost 50 - 100k pa in maintenance and fuel costs.
Why does creating a multifunction tool, with even finer tolerances, working in human safe workspaces cost less?
It reminds me of predictions for the cloud, that someone would just write a perfect cloud formation script and then be able to sack all of their employees. But instead it just updated a lot of System Engineers to Cloud Engineers and Devops positions.
The direct implication is that not only will robots definitely be allowed into human spaces, and definitely be able to use generalised hardware to perform fine detail technical work but also contain only servicable/replacable parts.
I dont see any of that as proven. I think its far more likely that a very limited subset of robots will be allowed to be near humans at all, and insurance for them is going to be extremely expensive. I think if I had a look at Australian law they would be considered Plant, guaranteed if they have any pressurized components or strong lift capability. Maintenance, is going to cost an arm and a leg, and the units themselves will be largely proprietary, so you are looking at ongoing maintenance via the vendor, much like what the tractor industry is working on.
That’s not at all what I remember, what are you basing that claim on?
This person clearly hasn't spent much time educating themselves how high volume manufacturing works, nor have they spent much time on flexible manufacturing systems either.
The entire article boils down to "Humanoids! Humanoids! HUMANOIDS!"
Cyberpunk is great game and I would like to have cyborg arm