LLMs do not learn. You put it out to pasture and create a new one. "Memory" in a session is essentially a context window party trick.
> Consciousness isn’t really guessing the next thing to say-
I don't know what consciousness is either and these debates are a dumpster fire when they happen, but it sounds like you're pulling forward this "LLMs are just predicting the next token" (true by construction) implies that they can't learn or reason or be conscious (2/3 are wrong, the last one isn't falsifiable without a useful definition).
And context window work very well. You can 'teach' an llm a new programming lanuage and other things through it.
You are anyway, I don't see anyone up the chain saying that.