Could you simulate something be typed? Trivially. Could you simulate something be drafted? Honestly, even if you wanted to put in all that time and effort, I’m not even sure LLMs are sophisticated enough to send the logical drafts, loops and edits that would pass a writers sniff test
And as LLMs get better at producing human-like text, that same pre-LLM reading experience, which helps people tell the two apart, will become less and less common.
You have no idea how many false positives and how many false negatives you have in your judgement. It is indeed impossible to differentiate between badly written human text and somewhat good written llm text.
The default LLM style is pretty deterministic. "Not X, Not Y. Just Z", etc.
There are phrases and cadences which are very rare in human prose (<5%) but unusually common (+95% occurrences in LLM prose). It is not unreasonable to look at content which is 95% LLM tells and conclude that that an LLM authored it.
I have noted, IRL, that those people who read very little, and only read when they have to (work docs, etc) are literally unable to tell that a piece of prose sounds like an LLM even when it has about 12 occurrences of "Not X. Just Y" or "Not X, Not Y. Just Z" in as many paragraphs.
I can still detect AI-written prose with pretty high confidence (I average about 85% accuracy after a bunch of rounds while testing, though I'm rushing because I'm testing), but it has gotten harder. Opus 4.8, GLM 5.2, GPT 5.5, and DeepSeek v4 Pro, are able to fool me sometimes. Mistral writes so weird it almost trips me up, but then I go, "oh, that's just Mistral". Qwen sometimes accidentally switches to Chinese (filtered out of the game, just a thing I found in testing). I'm doubling the corpus, currently, with a focus on the frontier models that have been able to fool me more often, so it'll probably get a little harder. GPT 4o is disgusting, just horrible saccharine nonsense (and, I guess that's the model that's caused the most psychosis with its sycophancy).
And, I have to concede that the best models prose has gotten better, especially when they're prompted to write in a specific style, like literary fiction or an encyclopedic article about a specific topic. Still flowery and verbose, though, and never really getting to the point (the AI doesn't want anything, and it shows).
Edit: Also, I'm surprised images have gotten to the point where I have a hard time detecting AI in some cases, and they got there more quickly than prose. I really thought prose would be the first to fall. Video is still detectable. Music still detectable (by someone that enjoys music and pays attention to it). But, AI prose still outs itself pretty quickly.
GPT 4o likes writing poetry with bees in it, for some reason. Qwen models are decidedly purple in their prose.
I even did post-training on Gemma 4 (a small model which has very good prose for a model, especially a small model) to try to make it able to write more like me, purely as an experiment to learn how training LoRAs works, and using data that I know is ethically sourced. It still distinctly writes like an LLM, with a few of my annoying quirks baked in: Inappropriate use of ellipses, too many parentheticals, occasionally dismissive tone. But, it can't stop doing the LLM things, either, without becoming incoherent.