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Comment by ravoori | Hacker News Reader

Approval still rides at 37%, which is pretty decent given the amount of turmoil that has been unleashed

That tracks. My rule of thumb is that political topics have a 33% group that will never budge and the remaining 4-5% accounts for the lizard man constant[1].

1. https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2024/07/the-lizardmans-cons...

Nixon was about 25% support before he resigned.

You have to multiply by the Lead-Poisoning coefficient for all events taking place in the 1970s.

Heh. Given the increased strength of party-identity, I fully agree that the floor of support will be higher than in the past.

"Strength of party-identity" kind of buries the lede, don't you think? The mainstream Republican party has become a death cult. Individually-tailored mass media is a hell of a drug.

Trump is already hitting disapproval levels seen during the end of W's second term. He actually is bleeding support and politically damaged due to all this.

It gets worse when you break it down into key demographics. In the same way W's presidency influenced millennials away from the GOP, Trump is doing the same for young voters today too.

Non-whites and Gen Z were plus for him in 2024. He has absolutely cratered his support in those two demos.

We will see how the midterms go :)

As of yesterday, some sources have it as low as 29% (well, of his handling of the economy): https://www.newsweek.com/trumps-approval-hits-second-term-lo...

He's not really up for re-election, so I'm not sure what approval numbers have to do with it

> He's not really up for re-election, so I'm not sure what approval numbers have to do with it

As an outsider, it seems the US midterm elections are a couple of months from now. If republicans lose, Donald Trump will most likely be impeached for all the mind numbingly high-level corruption and involvement in a pedophile ring.

Quite unlikely to get an impeachment. While there is the (long) possibility of Dems flipping the House and Senate, they will not alone have the votes to force him out without a number of Republicans to defect in the Senate. Anything is possible, but given how much insanity has already been tacitly approved, the economy would have to hit truly apocalyptic levels to expect that outcome.

impeachment is effectively a legal fantasy in the United States. The government does not punish it's own. We couldn't impeach Richard Nixon, a career criminal.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_efforts_to_impeach_pre...

Can this abundant turmoil be refined into gasoline? Asking for a friend.

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