yeah, it's funny how so many think the beginning of the S-curve is an exponential.
Granted, we don't know when the S-curve will inflect, but predicting too great an outcome is just as silly as discounting it altogether.
Granted, we don't know when the S-curve will inflect, but predicting too great an outcome is just as silly as discounting it altogether.
If we define the Pareto frontier’s input in terms of a magic “compute equivalent unit”. We get a free order of magnitude from nvidia hardware improvements every 2-3 years. We get another order of magnitude from capital expenditure every 6-12 months. Kernel improvements to the models themselves likely yield an order of magnitude gain at some periodicity.