I run a job search site and I don't see a crisis in terms of job openings even for SWE - but there is very clear signal that AI is deeply getting embedded in every SWE job.
https://corvi.careers/blog/global_software-engineering_jobs_...
https://corvi.careers/blog/global_software-engineering_jobs_...
BTW, cool site!
IMO, AI coding tools have materially improved SWE productivity compared with two years ago. The open question is whether demand for new products and services will expand enough to absorb that productivity gain. If demand does not increase correspondingly, then it may only be a matter of time before we see meaningful job market pressure, starting with SWE.
The big job sites feel rife with unqualified applicants and outright fraud, leaving me frankly unsure how to proceed.
It feels like a crisis of candidates-to-job-openings matching, and AI has made it much worse.
Your point about the good people self-selecting out makes sense.