Wait, how is any of this relevant if there were only 2 Claude commits? My statistics courses are far behind me, but don't you need at least 30 data points to conclude anything?
And again, that's kind of the point. There's exactly zero actual evidence, however you slice it, that "Claude broke rsync" except cherry-picked anecdata, and the whole point of my analysis is to demonstrate the total lack of any such trend/evidence at all, and just how in-distribution/normal these releases are, to show that if people hadn't known Claude was involved in them, they wouldn't have remarked on them.
> My statistics courses are far behind me, but don't you need at least 30 data points to conclude anything?
That cuts both ways. If we say that the author here can't claim any conclusion because there are only 2 Claude-authored releases, then we must also say that the people claiming "Claude broke rsync" have no statistical basis to draw that conclusion, either.
There is no fixed number. Sample size depends on the size of the set you're sampling, desired margin of error and confidence interval.
If your total set has a million items, you need ~16600 samples to draw conclusions with 99% ±1% certainty.