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Comment by roywiggins | Hacker News Reader

> A simple distributional analysis of every rsync release with bug data. No model. No assumptions. Just placement.

If you want me to read your analysis, you are going to have to make it not read like Claude wrote it. What does "placement" even mean here?

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Yeah, made me chuckle that an LLM— probably Claude— was used to write this.

The use of "regime shift" is what gave it away for me. I've never seen a human write that, but Claude does from time to time.

At least they removed occurrences of "load-bearing".

"quietly" seems to be the new one recently

Ohhh, quietly load-bearing is the real just. No noise. Pure fact. Delivered robustly.

It's the ultimate product for marketers. It inserts itself as an advertisement into every conversation now and defends itself against criticism. Just crazy. There's no hope for the rest of us.

It's not defending itself here, both because I used GLM 5.1, not Claude, and because I was the one who decided to do this analysis, iterated through six or seven different methodologies to try to find the one that was most honest with the data that I had (all of the methodologies showed directionally and often in magnitude the exact same thing, but I wanted to do something that fit the purpose, in consultation with my wife, who, as I've mentioned elsewhere, has a master's degree in statistics), and, of course, I specifically chose all of the metrics and sources for the data.

If you don't want to read the LLM prose, you can just go to the GitHub of my project, grab the scripts, and run the full pipeline. It will gather the data, build the database, and run the analysis from scratch for you, and you can look at the numbers directly. It's all repeatable.

Your rewritten post is far easier for me to read now, fwiw.

LLM output has conditioned in me a near reflex response to just close a tab as soon as I smell LLM-authored text. Like, I'm not mad or anything, I just frequently find most default LLM-voiced text very unpleasant to read so I just don't continue reading.

"Placement" as in where the Claude-driven releases exist within the existing distribution of bugs per 100 commits. If they're not OOD, then nothing is unusual.

Also, it wasn't written by Claude FWIW, GLM 5.1.

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